EuroLeague teams with highest probability to make Top 8 / News - Basketnews.com
Partizan have the highest probability to be in the playoff zone following the last five rounds. Their probability, including tiebreaks, reaches 90.76%.
Credit: Dainius Lukšta, Srdjan Stevanovic/Euroleague Basketball via Getty Images Credit Dainius Lukšta, Srdjan Stevanovic/Euroleague Basketball via Getty ImagesBasket Data Scouting Twitter account published the probability of eachEuroLeague team to reach a playoff spot, with five games to play in the regular season.
Zalgiris Kaunas / Schedule
Zalgiris Kaunas Olympiacos Piraeus72-74 Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul Zalgiris KaunasFri17:45 Zalgiris Kaunas AS Monaco03-2916:00Basketball analysts made one million (out of over 17 trillion) simulations to estimate the probability.
According to Basket Data Scouting, five teams -- Olympiacos (officially clinched a spot), Real (officially clinched a spot), Barcelona, Monaco, and Fenerbahce -- are considered as EuroLeague playoffs participants.
After the aforementioned giants, Partizan have the highest probability to be in the playoff zone following the last five rounds.
Their probability, including tiebreaks, reaches 90.76%. Moreover, Zeljko Obradovic's team has almost 70.0% odds to qualify for the playoffs without tiebreaks.
Next is Maccabi. The Israeli powerhouse has 89.43% (with tiebreaks) and 68.7% (without tiebreaks) chances of securing its place in the Top 8.
Baskonia (64.26% and 34.17%) and Zalgiris (63.6% and 35.12%) are the only other two teams that possess more than a 50.0% probability, involving tiebreaks, to be in the playoffs.
Then the numbers make a steep fall.
Valencia and Anadolu Efes hold a nearly 30.0% probability to reach a playoff spot with tiebreaks, while their chances to do so without tiebreaks mark less than 10.0%.
Virtus and Milan have a slim possibility to make the Top 8, while Crvena Zvezda need a miracle.
EuroLeague playoffs race: who will make Top 8?Twitter thread with all numbers
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