Betting Corner: auto-bet in Efes game and a possible Olympiacos slip up / News - Basketnews.com
BasketNews and Andreas Blomdahl continue the Betting Corner edition, providing the best choices before the upcoming EuroLeague round for sports betting enthusiasts.
AX Armani Exchange Milan / Schedule
Maccabi Tel Aviv AX Armani Exchange MilanTue19:05 Anadolu Efes Istanbul AX Armani Exchange MilanThu17:30Currently, Andreas correctly predicted 27 out of 40 possible outcomes. A pretty solid record of building upon. However, we remind you to gamble responsibly.
Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Real Madrid
Efes managed to bounce back after the blowout in Monaco, beating Zalgiris 85-71. However, they did lose against Darussafaka 81-85 in the domestic league this weekend.
Real Madrid beat ASVEL after a solid performance, 70-58, but also managed to lose in the domestic league, this time against Manresa 75-86, which meant BAXI Manresa beat both Real and Barcelona on the road this season (if you ever wondered).
I might come up like a broken record here, but as long as the total is below 160 points and Efes are playing the EuroLeague, it's as close as an auto-bet as it gets. Efes have one of the most potent offenses in Europe, and they love to run at home. Just ask Maccabi or Fener, who were the last two victims, conceding 193 points combined.
Real Madrid have a lot of ups and downs this year, and they're really struggling to find a rhythm that lasts over a longer period. The offensive performance against Manresa was decent, but not more than that. Especially with Sergio Llull missing a lot of open and important threes in the second half.
I do believe that this matchup should suit them well. They will have to run to have a chance, and with possibly both Trey Thompkins and Adam Hanga joining the team, they should at least reach 75 points which should be enough.
BET: Over 156.5 @ 1.90.
ALBA Berlin vs FC Barcelona
Berlin lost 68-85 to Baskonia last week with a performance they want to forget as soon as possible, shooting 8/30 from beyond the arc.
3-pointers this season
34%7,8Points made:7,8Accuracy:34,5%Place in standings:14Record max:14Record min:2Most made 3FGs:Scottie WilbekinTeamEuroLeagueStatisticsScheduleBarcelona, on the other hand, beat Crvena Zvezda 82-70 and followed that up with a superb performance on the domestic front, demolishing Gran Canaria 98-80.
Maodo Lo was missing for ALBA when playing Baskonia, and he's considered a game-time decision as far as I know. But we all know ALBA at home is a much different team, and they come up with one good performance after another, scoring big numbers.
Barcelona was missing Sertac Sanli due to a sore back, but he should hopefully be back here, at least that's what I'm hearing. I see Barcelona a bit different this half of the season compared to the first.
The defense is not as present as it used to be, something Saras should be worried about. Allowing Zalgiris to score 91 points two weeks ago says it all.
Alba will play once again with no pressure, and it should be a fun game to watch. I have the line around 159.5 myself.
BET: Over 156.5 @ 1.90
Maccabi Playtika Tel Aviv vs AX Armani Exchange Milan
Maccabi only played in the domestic league last week and won both games, 93-89 and 113-82 against Nes Ziona and Galil Elyon, respectively.
Armani Exchange had one game in the domestic league last weekend, and surprisingly they lost away to Brescia 74-82.
I'm not sure what happened to Maccabi, but it seems like everything is dropping now, the scoring is just incredibly good. Secondly, Maccabi tend to play a lot faster under coach Even, which reflects on the scoreboard.
For example, in the last six games, all competitions included, they have scored 93, 109, 77, 71, 93, and 113 points.
Milan is one of the best defensive teams in the league, and they do care a lot more about their possessions than the average EuroLeague team. But for me, it's impossible to do anything else than go for the over with such a low total seeing the way Maccabi are playing.
It's also easy to forget that Armani Exchange have elite scorers on all five positions, and they did score 81 away to Madrid just two weeks ago and followed that up by beating Trieste 102-84 in the domestic league.
BET: Over 154.5 @ 1.90
AS Monaco vs Olympiacos Piraeus
Monaco played two games in the domestic league last week, beating Strasbourg 105-103 after overtime and Paris away 76-69.
Olympiacos had one of the best offensive performances I've seen in a long time in EuroLeague, outscoring PAO in the derby 101-73.
Once again, a very important game for the hosts in the run for a playoff spot. I'm still rating Monaco very highly, especially when playing at home, and they seem to be better and better.
Olympiacos is a team I've credited a lot as well over the last couple of months, and I would be surprised if we don't see them in Belgrade later in May.
Why do I lean towards Monaco here? First, Monaco should be favorite against all teams in the league when playing at home except Barcelona and maybe Real Madrid, that's how high I have them at the moment.
The big key here that changes everything for me is that I believe we will see a recoil from Olympiacos, not because they're underestimating Monaco. Still, they've just pulled up the performance of the season, and that might be enough not to be 100% focused and ready.
Because I'm 110% sure that if Olympiacos is not 100% ready, they won't win this game, and since the odds are even, I see clear value on the hosts.
BET: Monaco win (including OT) @ 1.95.
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